The Visa Bulletin

Tutubear :- I guess F-3 will be 22nd November 2000. Tutubear, please let us know, when you received DS 230 form and paid visa fees. It will help us to predict PD.

@Pinki
The following data provided by Immigration services show number of family based immigrants allowed by law to receive green cards during any fiscal year.

FAMILY-SPONSORED PREFERENCES
First: Unmarried Sons and Daughters of Citizens: 23,400 plus any numbers not required for fourth preference.
Second: Spouses and Children, and Unmarried Sons and Daughters of Permanent
Residents: 114,200, plus the number (if any) by which the worldwide family preference level exceeds 226,000, and any unused first preference numbers:
A. Spouses and Children: 77% of the overall second preference limitation, of which 75% are exempt from the per-country limit;
B. Unmarried Sons and Daughters (21 years of age or older): 23% of the overall second preference limitation.
Third: Married Sons and Daughters of Citizens: 23,400, plus any numbers not required by first and second preferences.
Fourth: Brothers and Sisters of Adult Citizens: 65,000, plus any numbers not required by first three preferences.

As the above data shows, F2A category has the most advantage and speed to advance every month when comparing number of visa numbers and applications on file to be processed.

It was mentioned that the totals, in the following table, represent not only principal applicants or petition beneficiaries, but their spouses and children entitled to derivative status under INA 203(d) as well. This means that the number of F3 applications are not 484,230 but 242,115 at most since this category belongs to married children hence it should be divided by 2 to find the upper limit or highest possible number of applications. I read somewhere that for each applicant there should be a 1.5 people factored in for spouses and children. Now the number of applications reaches to about 200,000 for F3 category, considering the 1.5 factor, with only 23,000 limits allowed under the law. This number is very close to F1 with an exception that there is another limit for F3 category “derivatives” hence a slower movement compared to F1 category.

Now a ratio analysis ought to explain the VB movement for each category. One needs to compare the number of available visa numbers to number of applications on hand and get a rough idea as to where he or she stands when it comes to predicting PD movement.

F1: 228,787
F2A: 322,212
F2B: 481,726
F3: 484,230
F4: 1,206,397
Total: 2,723,352

You need to remember that 245(i) applications are not included. As I mentioned before, there are estimates floating around as to the total number of applications, FB and EB, filed under this law and it is believed to be anywhere from 250,000-500,000 at most.
Say we have 300,000 applications filed in Family based category and if the above table is any indication of their ratio as oppose to general population of 2,723,352, we can add another 60,000 to our F3 category or another 24000 applications to the total number of applications and do the math once more. This gives me a 9.5 year of average wait time, give or take couple months, for F3 category at this point which is not that far off of the current wait times we are witnessing today.

what does it mean 245(i) applications are not included is there any other qouta for them or how can they look for their time period ? please help on this

@AB
They are standing in line like anybody else. Immigration services just did not include them in the head count offered in March visa bulletin. Please try to access March visa bulletin and read the complete information offered first hand on their site.

tutubear :
hi chita i am pd nov 13th 2000. according to your calculation you said that if the f3 moved to nov 8 ,the cut off date will be on the 14th .so are you saying that my pd will be ready even though they didn’t touch to nov 15 th on the bulletin. or if i am wrong can you enlighten me a little more. it will be sad if they dont reach mine thank for your help

If VB of F3 in Sep = 11/8 that means the qualified files w/PD from 11/1 to 11/7 get interview letter only. Your file w/PD 11/13/00 is in Group 2 will not become current in Sep

Hi rose did your child, who is 21 get through?

My GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOD, F3 moved one month and half. F1 moved Five months and one week. Huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuraaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa. Good luck everyone.

Family
1st 15MAY03 15MAY03 15MAY03 01JAN91 22SEP93
2A 15APR05 15APR05 15APR05 22DEC02 15APR05
2B 01JUL01 01JUL01 01JUL01 15MAY92 01MAY98
3rd 15DEC00 15DEC00 15DEC00 01JUL91 22SEP91
4th 22FEB99 22FEB99 22FEB99 22SEP95 22OCT86

The above is for September 2009.

Be happy guys.

SEPT 2009 visa bulletin is OUT.

@Pooyan
I am very happy to see such advancement. Make sure you let us know when you get your papers.

@mt2644
Thanx for the information…

Do any body know some one, who was file with f3,and is over 21 get through?

Pooyan, let’s thank God, I am happy with you

be happy for wrong predict. hope that i will make more like that.

to chim

im also at f3 category.My pd is Nov 27 91.ask ko lang kung nakatanggap ka ng notice frm NVC? I’VE SPOKEN TO MAM MEPHIL wid same categ pd sept28 ’91 pero nakatangap na sya ng ds3032, pero sa iyo hndi pa, why? this is my number 09293953671 or cal me at (077)6703926.
wait for your comment!!!

i am also F2B my PD is 30 july 2005, i have already recieved a notice of approval by NVC and US embassy manila, but dont know when to be curren. they told me just wait until there is available visa..

we are in the F3 category,my pd is on mar91,is there any problem if in case death of the petitioner?

sorry i mean mar92 not mar91

i am an f1 category, but it seems moving like a frog guys

ask ku po nka pag submit na po ako ng ds 230.. gaanu po ba katagal bagu ma sked for interview sa manila? cinu pu ba nka subok na tnx po pls reply

ask ku po nka pag submit na po ako ng ds 230.. gaanu po ba katagal bagu ma sked for interview sa manila? cinu pu ba nka subok na tnx po pls reply
pls pu help

ask ku po nka pag submit na po ako ng ds 230.. gaanu po ba katagal bagu ma sked for interview sa manila?

pa help pu nka pag submit npo aku ng ds 230 sa us embacy gaanu pu ako katagal mag hihintay para sa interview ku? salamat po,pls reply po

hi all f3 now good news all march 2002.nvc all documents are sent.now fast,,,,,,fast,,,,,

hello every one especially my f3 friends i have completed my medical and waiting for the 20 of Oct for my visa interview i will tell you all how the interview went wish me luck

Carlos
I pray you God Blessing, I trust every thing will be okey

My sister filed for myself and my children. We received approval in February 2009. My daughter turned 21 before the approval date but she was filed for since she was 14. Will she get a visa the same time with myself and the younger children.

@Venancio
hello po ask ko lng po kung ns u.s na po kyo